The market moved
+41.0ppin 24h · now 93¢
Will Wi Seong-gon win the 2026 Jeju Province Gubernatorial Election?
Geopolitics · resolves Jun 3 · vol $231.93
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 93¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 41.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.