The market moved
+11.9ppin 24h · now 15¢
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
Sports · resolves Dec 19 · vol $162.12
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 15¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 11.9pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.