The market moved

+0.1ppin 24h · now 10¢

Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?

Macro · resolves Jan 15 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 10¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on imf — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: IMF — https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.