The market moved

-5.0ppin 24h · now 45¢

Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?

Other · open · vol $1.67

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 45¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.twitch.tv/xQc).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.