The market moved

-17.6ppin 24h · now

Will Yang Yun-nyeong win the 2026 Jeju Province Gubernatorial Election?

Geopolitics · resolves Jun 3 · vol $50.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 17.6pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-17.6pp · Will Yang Yun-nyeong win the 2026 Jeju Province Gubernatorial Election? | Orrery