The market moved

+2.5ppin 24h · now 54¢

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 18?

Other · resolves May 18 · vol $4.1K

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 54¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 11.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.