Orrery Pulse

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

40% current
7D range
37-64%
Net move
-21.0pp
24h volume
$39k
7 day implied probability chart
May 1150% decision lineMay 18

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.