Orrery Pulse

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

19% current
7D range
17-38%
Net move
-6.5pp
24h volume
$4
7 day implied probability chart
May 1150% decision lineMay 18

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.