Orrery Pulse

Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

16% current
7D range
16-50%
Net move
-34.0pp
24h volume
$91
7 day implied probability chart
May 2250% decision lineMay 25

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

Open dashboard stateCreate alertView market