Orrery Pulse

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?

17% current
7D range
8-26%
Net move
+7.5pp
24h volume
$425
7 day implied probability chart
May 1150% decision lineMay 18

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.