Orrery Pulse

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?

4% current
7D range
3-11%
Net move
-1.8pp
24h volume
$242
7 day implied probability chart
May 1150% decision lineMay 18

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.