Orrery Pulse

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?

4% current
7D range
1-9%
Net move
+2.3pp
24h volume
$0
7 day implied probability chart
May 1150% decision lineMay 18

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.