Orrery Pulse

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

27% current
7D range
23-27%
Net move
+2.0pp
24h volume
$47
7 day implied probability chart
May 1150% decision lineMay 18

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.