Orrery Pulse

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

8% current
7D range
5-10%
Net move
+2.5pp
24h volume
$84
7 day implied probability chart
May 1150% decision lineMay 18

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.