Orrery Pulse

Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?

28% current
7D range
9-42%
Net move
-13.5pp
24h volume
$284
7 day implied probability chart
May 1850% decision lineMay 19

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

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