Dear-Thistle
0x0026ca70e996c6119f9a47a425245d227dcbaef7
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$27.9K
Total PnL
$-458.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
15000 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.8K
$194.06
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5000 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.4K
$325.00
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
3400 shares @ 87.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.0K
$53.13
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
1899 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.8K
$127.23
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$933.50
$-16.50
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
2009 shares @ 79.7¢·now 44.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$883.83
$-717.95
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 59.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$725.00
$-455.00
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
621 shares @ 64.4¢·now 69.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$428.27
$28.27
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.15
$2.75
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
100 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.50
$3.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.18May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump resign before 2027?$157.20May 12, 12:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$9.5KMay 10, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$167.92May 10, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$250.00May 10, 11:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 10, 00:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.36May 9, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump resign before 2027?$98.53May 8, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$810.00May 8, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump resign before 2027?$210.47May 8, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$49.51May 8, 00:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.89May 8, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $397.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".