Lean-Mastoid
0x009983e518edb011dd118470ee533f7c3863386e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$970.25
Realised
$20.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
3042 shares @ 35.2¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$1.2K
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 73.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.3K
$202.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1020 shares @ 28.6¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$249.90
$-42.30
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
400 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-228.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
238 shares @ 63.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-149.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
80 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
49 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
42 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
30 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$81.00May 16, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$56.00May 16, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$58.00May 16, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$60.00May 16, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1.1KMay 12, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$85.00May 12, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$19.89May 7, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$19.89May 7, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$63.28May 7, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$47.72May 7, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$29.00May 6, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$54.00May 6, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$95.00May 6, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11.70May 6, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$86.21May 4, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$12.25May 4, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$14.73May 4, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$81.80May 4, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$62.00May 4, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$45.63May 3, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $554.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 14:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".