Natural-Dragonfly
0x00f8def5bef90ad180e8da6329ad27655804153b
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$285.85
Total PnL
$-7.6K
Realised
$31.65
Win rate
77%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
1800 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$243.00
$9.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET
179 shares @ 19.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$24.23
$-10.77
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
219 shares @ 18.3¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$18.62
$-21.38
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET
4360 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-269.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
1481 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
1227 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET
1098 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-131.06
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
1069 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1PM ET
977 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-47.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
948 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET$10.61May 18, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$5.19May 18, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$10.63May 18, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$29.93May 18, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$10.41May 18, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$10.23May 18, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$5.23May 18, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$15.82May 18, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$15.76May 18, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$5.32May 18, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$10.50May 18, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$5.22May 18, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$50.31May 18, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$5.22May 18, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$5.24May 18, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$5.23May 18, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$5.19May 18, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$10.67May 18, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET$5.26May 18, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET$10.53May 18, 17:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 17:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".