Clear-Screenwriting
0x011f2d377e56119fb09196dffb0948ae55711122
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$488.0K
Total PnL
$207.8K
Realised
$126.1K
Win rate
79%
124 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
234288 shares @ 53.8¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$190.6K
$64.5K
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
118613 shares @ 19.2¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$26.7K
$3.9K
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
67243 shares @ 43.8¢·now 38.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$25.9K
$-3.5K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
65005 shares @ 45.6¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.6K
$-6.1K
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
16292 shares @ 85.8¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.2K
$187.96
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
21997 shares @ 45.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.8K
$1.9K
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
132825 shares @ 5.6¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.4K
$3.9K
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
33803 shares @ 39.1¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.3K
$-1.9K
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11503 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.1K
$17.25
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
10522 shares @ 95.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.4K
$375.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.52May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.66May 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.88May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$5.30May 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.20May 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$171.92May 18, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.02May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.60May 18, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.86May 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.38May 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.41May 18, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.69May 18, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rickie Fowler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$212.67May 18, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$733.96May 18, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rickie Fowler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$8.1KMay 18, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.61May 18, 02:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 124 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".