Notable-Outlay
0x0191f93dde60301760b59eeb6a912785830bebdb
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$37.84
Total PnL
$-140.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?
2045 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.84
$-19.42
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
1333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?
1195 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?$57.26Apr 27, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iraq by February 28?$0.00Mar 20, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$0.00Mar 20, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Mar 20, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?$44.74Mar 16, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?$55.91Mar 16, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$66.18Mar 9, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$66.18Mar 9, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iraq by February 28?$5.58Mar 5, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$5.58Mar 5, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$56.37Mar 4, 17:02 UTC
- REWARD$0.62Mar 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$81.36Mar 2, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$80.52Mar 2, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$195.04Mar 2, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$60.00Mar 2, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iraq by February 28?$52.81Mar 2, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iraq by February 28?$8.00Mar 2, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$200.00Mar 2, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iraq by February 28?$100.00Mar 2, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $120.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 11:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 12:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".