Good-Natured-Meadow
0x01de00486455b126bc2406a5b1b8d8625e80a558
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$9.3K
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$212.85
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
2428 shares @ 70.5¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.2K
$497.90
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2101 shares @ 78.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$266.69
- NO
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
1226 shares @ 27.9¢·now 82.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.0K
$662.79
- NO
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
1036 shares @ 78.6¢·now 88.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$918.84
$103.81
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
765 shares @ 67.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$654.24
$140.33
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2864 shares @ 24.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$615.74
$-71.12
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
2500 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$537.50
$-12.50
- NO
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?
1060 shares @ 25.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$408.10
$143.50
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 76.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$362.50
$-17.50
- NO
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?
471 shares @ 50.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$275.37
$40.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$109.70May 17, 21:38 UTC
- MERGEGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$285.00May 17, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$714.58May 17, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$98.35May 17, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$40.38May 17, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?$383.65May 17, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$567.16May 17, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 17, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 8, 2026?$0.00May 17, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?$0.00May 17, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026$0.00May 17, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$67.57May 16, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.7KMay 16, 15:03 UTC
- REWARD$1.15May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?$46.75May 14, 15:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.08May 14, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.01May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?$5.60May 13, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?$712.16May 13, 01:55 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.49May 13, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $347.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".