Pale-Whelp
0x02388370985ec313bcc199911073f91f52b6eb0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$20.7K
Total PnL
$605.41
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
13600 shares @ 88.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.6K
$590.95
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
10206 shares @ 52.2¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.8K
$438.71
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
4500 shares @ 30.3¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$922.50
$-439.10
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$745.00
$15.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
6001 shares @ 5.3¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$255.04
$-66.23
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
702 shares @ 46.4¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$193.05
$-132.87
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 82.2¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$163.49
$-0.90
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
300 shares @ 46.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$66.00
$-72.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
50 shares @ 53.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.24
$-9.26
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
200 shares @ 7.2¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.28
$-0.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$3.59May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.2KMay 17, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$276.00May 17, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.6KMay 17, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$9.45May 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$18.42May 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.05May 17, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.39May 17, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.05May 17, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$360.00May 17, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.46May 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$4.63May 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$9.60May 17, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.10May 17, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$73.96May 17, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$22.30May 17, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.57May 17, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$588.64May 17, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.04May 17, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $330.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 16:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".