Embellished-Submitter
0x0278936fa1ea5e351ac24403401bee290ec900e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-189.96
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
591 shares @ 84.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$580.95
$84.51
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
725 shares @ 63.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$482.13
$25.38
- SOUTHERN SUPER STARS
Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers
722 shares @ 17.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$361.00
$238.26
- PRAIRIE VIEW A&M PANTHERS
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers
344 shares @ 73.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$172.00
$-79.12
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
34 shares @ 81.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$24.99
$-2.55
- NO
Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.00
$1.08
- YES
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
9 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.17
$0.09
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.03
$0.02
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
1 shares @ 52.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.72
$0.20
- YES
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
1 shares @ 37.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.14
$-0.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$98.40Apr 27, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$100.75Apr 23, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?$1.32Apr 21, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$235.56Apr 21, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$492.18Apr 21, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on March 31?$107.00Apr 15, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMMid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels$329.50Apr 15, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tundra Esports win ESL One Birmingham 2026?$679.00Apr 15, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "JD" or "Vance" during events with Rutte?$685.00Apr 15, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$270.00Apr 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$324.60Apr 13, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$116.82Apr 13, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?$72.67Apr 13, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?$110.44Apr 13, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?$276.76Apr 13, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$280.80Apr 13, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouthern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers$251.12Apr 13, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLegends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers$122.74Apr 13, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?$66.15Apr 13, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?$118.65Apr 13, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $202.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 07:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".