Immense-Stencil
0x02ae961846bcddb4bb74f7c866662b83ed11bad5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
133
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$303.31
Realised
$50.64
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 133- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3453 shares @ 16.2¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$776.86
$216.80
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
264 shares @ 88.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$249.09
$17.09
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
208 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$203.06
$3.05
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
805 shares @ 14.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$173.06
$58.04
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
188 shares @ 71.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$159.27
$24.26
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
161 shares @ 90.7¢·now 95.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$153.09
$7.09
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
123 shares @ 83.5¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$117.08
$14.28
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
122 shares @ 80.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$107.00
$8.03
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
140 shares @ 49.7¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$87.50
$17.90
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
94 shares @ 63.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$84.91
$24.91
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$30.18May 17, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$30.18May 17, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$5.07May 17, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$1.01May 17, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$3.12May 17, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more?$0.78May 17, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?$0.42May 17, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$3.60May 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$1.37May 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$3.33May 17, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$15.00May 17, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$1.00May 17, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by May 31?$15.07May 17, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$10.15May 17, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$5.14May 17, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$35.20May 17, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$5.19May 17, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$1.04May 17, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$0.94May 17, 05:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".