Shimmering-Green
0x02b8cadb743843a7ae4e336c0a467e73f2793deb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$6.0K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$280.45
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
44439 shares @ 5.8¢·now 9.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.2K
$1.7K
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
1312 shares @ 26.8¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$347.63
$-3.68
- NO
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
361 shares @ 60.6¢·now 66.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$239.80
$21.32
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3877 shares @ 14.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$174.45
$-368.80
- NO
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
166 shares @ 80.4¢·now 80.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$132.91
$-0.66
- YES
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
346 shares @ 28.9¢·now 31.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$108.84
$8.84
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
292 shares @ 41.0¢·now 35.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.51
$-16.49
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$95.65
$45.65
- NO
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3200 shares @ 4.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$81.28
$-53.48
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$43.22May 17, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.61May 17, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.91May 17, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.01May 17, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00May 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$16.10May 17, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.61May 17, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.71May 17, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.83May 17, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.60May 17, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$36.96May 17, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$80.00May 17, 02:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$10.94May 15, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran nuclear test before 2027?$65.06May 15, 06:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$0.19May 15, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.97May 14, 23:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $17.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".