French-Probation
0x030b4d180c048c0cbebdc0a3abbf81cff8d638dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$51.01
Total PnL
$-65.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
22 shares @ 58.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.92
$3.92
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
273 shares @ 9.2¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$12.69
$-12.30
- NO
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
9 shares @ 53.5¢·now 55.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.45
$-1.55
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.33
$-1.67
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 39.2¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.77
$-0.23
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
6 shares @ 47.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.71
$-0.29
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.08
$-7.92
- NO
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$13.91May 15, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.07May 14, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.18May 14, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$15.23May 14, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.07May 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.09May 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.05May 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.05May 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.02May 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?$5.09May 12, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$3.00May 12, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$19.23May 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$1.01May 12, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 12, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1.00May 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$2.08May 11, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$3.12May 11, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 11, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?$1.01May 6, 03:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 05:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 04:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".