Variable-Conscience
0x031345d6dd468805777367762eda31b4c5a867db
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$671.53
Total PnL
$-278.94
Realised
$-9.90
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
191 shares @ 52.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$176.86
$76.10
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
269 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$133.08
$3.89
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
50 shares @ 64.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$44.75
$12.65
- NO
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026?
40 shares @ 66.2¢·now 93.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.86
$11.08
- NO
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
45 shares @ 37.3¢·now 72.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$32.39
$15.59
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
240 shares @ 10.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.20
$-0.30
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 52.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$19.03
$7.59
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 18.8¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.65
$-0.15
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 69.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.39
$2.78
- NO
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
20 shares @ 27.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.00
$6.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$3.87May 16, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 16, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?$5.35May 16, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?$4.00May 16, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$10.00May 16, 06:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.00May 15, 10:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$29.45May 14, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.73May 14, 13:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$2.40May 13, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$4.00May 13, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$27.96May 13, 05:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$13.97May 12, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$1.00May 12, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?$29.22May 12, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $9.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 22:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".