Jolly-Leader
0x033025f6cede59b115a49446d0208586ba47eb8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-388.80
Realised
$57.32
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
470 shares @ 87.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$439.53
$28.09
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 53.3¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$297.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
265 shares @ 86.6¢·now 86.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$227.90
$-1.55
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$187.40
$87.40
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
400 shares @ 53.5¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$162.00
$-52.00
- NO
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
206 shares @ 77.6¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$160.92
$0.74
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
213 shares @ 32.8¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.42
$89.68
- NO
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
171 shares @ 42.3¢·now 66.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$112.78
$40.58
- NO
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?
100 shares @ 92.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$98.86
$6.01
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
400 shares @ 25.6¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$89.99
$-12.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$3.93May 18, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$3.22May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$2.30May 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$24.50May 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$16.00May 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$13.54May 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$9.40May 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$14.10May 18, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$500.00May 18, 01:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.07May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.14May 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.07May 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.00May 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.00May 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.00May 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.00May 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.00May 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$25.92May 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.45May 17, 22:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $31.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 23:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".