Constant-Cranberry
0x0387b38bbd5d84670bf8adbbf14129653f1462d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$105.23
Realised
$59.51
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?
501 shares @ 94.8¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$480.09
$5.02
- NO
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
279 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$278.16
$4.61
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$246.50
$3.75
- NO
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?
220 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$217.89
$0.99
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
200 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$196.30
$4.10
- NO
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
200 shares @ 89.2¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$193.30
$14.91
- YES
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
310 shares @ 58.3¢·now 54.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$167.63
$-13.28
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
215 shares @ 31.9¢·now 72.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$154.97
$86.24
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
141 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$128.19
$1.40
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
112 shares @ 91.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.49
$0.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?$16.07May 18, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?$6.34May 18, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$22.76May 15, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BMO fail by end of 2026?$61.31May 14, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?$17.54May 14, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?$43.74May 14, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$7.29May 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$0.81May 13, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$4.79May 12, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?$86.08May 12, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RBC fail by end of 2026?$9.89May 12, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?$49.37May 12, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?$0.89May 12, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BMO fail by end of 2026?$29.96May 11, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$97.40May 11, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RBC fail by end of 2026?$17.43May 11, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?$9.49May 11, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BMO fail by end of 2026?$9.78May 10, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed abolished before 2027?$63.96May 10, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$15.62May 9, 23:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $22.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".