Tough-Garter
0x03c8118da338a9dafb2bae9a4e89055203a30e01
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$6.1K
Total PnL
$-252.51
Realised
$82.76
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 74.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.7K
$1.2K
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.3K
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2500 shares @ 16.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$312.50
$-93.75
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
3000 shares @ 9.2¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$195.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
30000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$180.00
$15.54
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
2000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$170.00
$-130.00
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
1500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$142.50
$-7.50
- YES
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
300 shares @ 40.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$141.00
$21.00
- YES
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?
1548 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-35.57
- YES
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
1000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.55May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.46May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$75.00May 16, 21:20 UTC
- SPLITWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.0KMay 16, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-16?$0.00May 16, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?$0.00May 16, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$0.00May 16, 13:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.44May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$326.25May 15, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$38.17May 15, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$259.44May 15, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.75May 15, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$91.84May 15, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$39.88May 15, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.77May 15, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.65May 15, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$184.71May 15, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.54May 15, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$38.85May 15, 13:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.44May 15, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $69.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 21:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".