Unconscious-Chance
0x03ca4f26700992708b0f08cf7cc6b5aa09f669f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$43.39
Total PnL
$-23.12
Realised
$-2.11
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
136 shares @ 2.5¢·now 11.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$15.48
$12.07
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.94
$0.94
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?
85 shares @ 5.9¢·now 6.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.80
$0.81
- YES
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
72 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
732 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.30
$-2.70
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.58
$-2.42
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.75
$-4.25
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.33
$-0.67
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.14
$-0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$3.41Apr 12, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?$5.00Apr 12, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?$5.00Apr 12, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?$5.00Apr 12, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?$5.00Apr 12, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?$5.00Apr 12, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.83Apr 12, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Apr 12, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.27Apr 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.00Apr 12, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$2.48Apr 12, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.00Apr 12, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 12, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 12, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 12, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 12, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 24, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 24, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 24, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 24, 08:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 23:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 22:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".