Roasted-Pacemaker
0x03eb8d675ba19ab1c91dce914efa3b2e6df996e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$235.29
Total PnL
$-583.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
236 shares @ 93.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 26, 2026$235.29
$14.63
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
289 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-18.21
- YES
Will "How to Get to Heaven from Belfast" be the top US Netflix show this week?
273 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.38
- YES
Will "Overboard" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)
268 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.70
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 205 and 219 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
265 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.07
- YES
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
263 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-39.66
- YES
Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
259 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-33.62
- HOUSTON COUGARS
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Houston Cougars (W)
248 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.92
- YES
Will Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?
245 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.06
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?
243 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$33.62Mar 6, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?$220.66Feb 28, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on March 1?$4.35Feb 27, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $40 on February 23?$146.00Feb 23, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 22?$102.58Feb 23, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 22?$101.25Feb 21, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $40 on February 23?$144.25Feb 21, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on February 20?$272.82Feb 21, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$18.21Feb 20, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hamnet" win Best Make Up & Hair at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$10.35Feb 20, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (W)$4.89Feb 20, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karoline Knotten (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$8.49Feb 19, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTCU Horned Frogs vs. Houston Cougars (W)$8.92Feb 16, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 18?$3.45Feb 16, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on February 20?$269.27Feb 16, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?$272.16Feb 16, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 17?$3.00Feb 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Knapp win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?$17.67Feb 15, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "How to Get to Heaven from Belfast" be the top US Netflix show this week?$7.38Feb 14, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?$262.91Feb 14, 08:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $49.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 05:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 10:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".