Important-Denim
0x03ffae2e1527e426922807676f326dc5755e92eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$109.53
Total PnL
$-93.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?
55 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$54.97
$27.47
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
32 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.16
$8.16
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
56 shares @ 30.4¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$21.31
$4.28
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
32 shares @ 50.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.84
$-8.16
- YES
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be less than 0.7%?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.23
$-23.77
- NO
Will "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?
55 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.03
$-27.47
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
51 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.12
- NO
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-12?
44 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $10m?
35 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-17.50
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
28 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.52
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.00May 15, 10:24 UTC
- SPLITWill "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?$55.00May 14, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.08May 14, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.36May 14, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$12.00May 8, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0.43May 8, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$2.34May 8, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$8.94May 8, 10:57 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$32.00May 8, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00May 8, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?$100.00May 8, 09:46 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?$100.00Apr 29, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.20Apr 27, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be less than 0.7%?$7.03Apr 18, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be less than 0.7%?$10.79Apr 18, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be less than 0.7%?$10.79Apr 18, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.79Apr 16, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.87Apr 16, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$10.36Apr 16, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$16.00Apr 15, 13:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $4.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 13:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 10:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".