Unwelcome-Grin
0x0404bf5d24bfc14f7102930b876d182434a48353
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$10.8K
Total PnL
$-982.07
Realised
$224.09
Win rate
83%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2600 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$91.03
- NO
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
1255 shares @ 86.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.3K
$171.25
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1400 shares @ 85.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$15.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$42.00
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
930 shares @ 78.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$730.05
$-1.75
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1875 shares @ 39.2¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$679.69
$-55.31
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2640 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$656.02
$-30.15
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
3663 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$604.36
$-10.37
- YES
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
478 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$478.18
$85.88
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1875 shares @ 20.2¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$475.40
$96.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$81.25May 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$59.02May 18, 06:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.40May 18, 00:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.11May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.44May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$194.15May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$71.81May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$15.12May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$34.02May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$11.34May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$18.90May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$17.65May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$22.48May 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$153.42May 16, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$221.09May 16, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$24.29May 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$9.69May 16, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$39.74May 16, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$13.25May 16, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$2.65May 16, 22:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $72.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 06:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".