Ornate-Fringe
0x043c39a6f38395a0dc845d3b1b23a98b767a8e76
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$233.61
Total PnL
$-17.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?
187 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 22, 2026$183.54
$-0.56
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
1938 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$41.47
$-16.67
- NO
Aligned FDV above $1B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 92.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.07
$-0.32
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 47.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.54
$0.24
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.26May 18, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce new sanctions on China?$184.21May 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$829.82May 18, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$99.00May 18, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$99.00May 18, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$99.00May 18, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$525.35May 18, 03:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.20May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$3.32May 18, 00:00 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$800.00May 17, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$24.10May 17, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$96.99May 17, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$58.14May 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$877.50May 17, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$879.30May 17, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$878.40May 17, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.50May 17, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$10.00May 17, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$10.00May 17, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump Leave China on May 16?$10.20May 17, 11:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $137.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 11:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".