Incomparable-Surprise
0x048215305cbcf7cc790735bf00119551d75c6b0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$21.8K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$72.26
Win rate
50%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
20448 shares @ 9.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.5K
$-411.20
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1614 shares @ 80.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.5K
$170.45
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
1610 shares @ 82.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.4K
$112.03
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
3679 shares @ 24.4¢·now 31.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.1K
$249.63
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
8127 shares @ 13.3¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$13.55
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
3641 shares @ 49.6¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.1K
$-732.30
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
1369 shares @ 21.6¢·now 75.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$733.45
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
6109 shares @ 17.1¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$885.80
$-158.91
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
15703 shares @ 12.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$863.64
$-1.0K
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
4653 shares @ 16.9¢·now 17.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$791.07
$6.47
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.33May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$49.00May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.33May 18, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$215.37May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.10May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.00May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.94May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.38May 18, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.46May 18, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.83May 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.09May 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.50May 18, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$8.40May 18, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$15.40May 18, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$75.00May 18, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$160.00May 18, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$160.00May 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$893.43May 18, 02:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$8.03May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$139.99May 18, 00:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $216.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 17:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".