Inconsequential-Hotdog
0x0499323af0259889878ec0ec4222b8cbabb5c9e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$13.04
Total PnL
$-100.46
Realised
$0.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
80 shares @ 2.7¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.56
$1.40
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
100 shares @ 4.6¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.15
$-1.45
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
80 shares @ 2.5¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.44
$0.44
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.65
$0.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.43
$-0.07
- NO
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 23.1¢·now 7.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.66
$-1.34
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.15
$-0.02
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
173 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
140 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$4.60May 8, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.07May 8, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$2.00May 7, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$0.11May 7, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$2.00May 7, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$0.27May 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$0.11May 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.22May 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$0.12May 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$0.07May 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$3.33May 7, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.07May 7, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?$6.77May 7, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?$1.34Mar 1, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?$5.00Mar 1, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?$4.88Mar 1, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fedez & Marco Masini win Sanremo 2026?$5.00Mar 1, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?$4.00Mar 1, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arisa win Sanremo 2026?$2.20Feb 28, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arisa win Sanremo 2026?$0.73Feb 28, 23:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 12:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".