Naive-Child
0x04d4edbd92f772260fdb427420b9f4222089d1f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$150.18
Total PnL
$-24.06
Realised
$35.37
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
910 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$77.38
$-3.26
- YES
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
593 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$26.67
$-20.74
- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
344 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$14.43
$1.18
- YES
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
984 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$12.79
$2.95
- YES
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
173 shares @ 7.7¢·now 7.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$12.52
$-0.84
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
900 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.05
$-8.03
- YES
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
175 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.31
$0.26
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?
56 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.03
$-19.97
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.40May 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$10.37May 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.57May 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.00May 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.00May 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$6.00May 16, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$5.13May 15, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$19.80May 15, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$10.06May 15, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$9.77May 14, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$3.16May 14, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$4.20May 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.18May 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$4.90May 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.92May 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.60May 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.26May 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.94May 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.88May 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.90May 13, 17:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 04:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".