Wary-Registry
0x04d4f1daff0b363d94ac6c517edfe970ffd4be7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$334.25
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$145.34
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026
630 shares @ 23.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$151.20
$6.30
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
131 shares @ 81.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$117.25
$10.43
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
83 shares @ 44.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.98
$-9.54
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
80 shares @ 38.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.20
$-9.20
- YES
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
29 shares @ 33.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.02
$1.45
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
20 shares @ 19.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.10
$-0.70
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.82
$0.16
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.52
$-0.44
- NO
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.39
$-0.30
- YES
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
4 shares @ 22.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.38
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?$714.42Apr 27, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?$399.30Apr 27, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?$8.58Apr 27, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026$144.90Apr 23, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?$346.08Apr 23, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?$149.00Apr 20, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during events with Rutte?$673.00Apr 20, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMCalifornia Golden Bears vs. Virginia Cavaliers$818.00Apr 20, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?$696.78Apr 10, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$165.30Apr 9, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$11.34Apr 9, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$9.72Apr 9, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$19.98Apr 9, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$19.98Apr 9, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$9.72Apr 9, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$19.98Apr 9, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$439.56Apr 9, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$165.30Apr 8, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during events with Rutte?$282.66Apr 8, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?$92.38Apr 7, 16:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $166.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".