Waterlogged-Fold
0x04efc2e2d9fbc5439f33ac75efbd75a57e261584
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$79.01
Total PnL
$-45.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
850 shares @ 2.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.01
$13.92
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?
1611 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.36
$-1.87
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?
497 shares @ 4.7¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.45
$-13.87
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?
306 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.82
$4.17
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?
306 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.83
$0.26
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
35 shares @ 15.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$-3.75
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?
301 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$-1.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
40 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-19.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
20 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
10 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?$0.31Mar 9, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?$7.10Mar 9, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?$1.24Jan 23, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?$10.23Jan 23, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?$1.50Jan 23, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?$1.20Dec 8, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?$0.94Dec 8, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?$5.14Dec 8, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$19.60Dec 4, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$9.60Dec 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$4.90Dec 4, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.00Dec 4, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$10.00Dec 4, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$1.85Dec 4, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$1.85Dec 4, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$5.00Dec 4, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?$1.01Dec 3, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?$2.43Nov 30, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?$1.14Nov 30, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?$2.33Nov 30, 13:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 23:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".