Frugal-Analogy
0x05465d1efcff303e67876675e9a31f3f9ee6c0ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$11.29
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$83.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
114 shares @ 5.2¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
42 shares @ 7.1¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 6.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.39
$-0.61
- YES
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
595191 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-595.19
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
290582 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-609.06
- YES
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?
112000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-112.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
105000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
98369 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-420.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$9.60May 12, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$3.00May 12, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$103.99May 12, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$12.11May 10, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$31.20May 10, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$5.20May 10, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$51.99May 10, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$9.36May 3, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$30.00Apr 9, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$4.00Apr 9, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$2.96Apr 8, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$105.00Apr 2, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$100.00Mar 30, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$0.00Mar 6, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?$0.00Mar 6, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$29.97Mar 4, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$78.77Mar 4, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$11.11Mar 4, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$0.01Mar 4, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$0.01Mar 4, 16:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $15.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 21:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 16:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".