Orderly-Pay
0x06778506d3e6fd8b7a9d7a70e05ea6ba7fa02a28
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
72
Open notional
$23.40
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$4.49
$-5.51
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.61
$-6.39
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
944 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.30
$-6.70
- YES
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?
26287 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-71.95
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 4?
9826 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-46.60
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
4545 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-05-17?$4.06May 17, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?$5.12May 17, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.08May 17, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.08May 17, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$20.12May 17, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$4.20May 15, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.25May 15, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$6.00May 15, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.22May 15, 18:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.06May 14, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$41.12May 14, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$42.80May 14, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$20.76May 14, 05:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?$21.28May 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?$5.10May 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?$5.11May 13, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$10.16May 13, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?$10.16May 13, 13:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $11.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 10:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".