Fancy-Directive
0x06cbd80db1f5fb32c3173d7a6e6164c48a16c49b
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$56.31
Total PnL
$1.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?
130 shares @ 7.7¢·now 8.8¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$11.36
$1.36
- YES
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.83
$0.83
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 55.4¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.46
$0.46
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.53
$-0.47
- YES
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?
37 shares @ 10.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.17
$-0.86
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$10.38May 17, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by December 31?$10.00May 17, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 17, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?$10.37May 17, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$10.18May 17, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?$4.18May 17, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by less than 5%?$4.78May 17, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?$7.50May 17, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$8.45May 17, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$10.00May 17, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$0.00May 17, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or below on May 15?$0.00May 17, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$10.00May 16, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?$10.00May 16, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$10.37May 16, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by less than 5%?$10.24May 16, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$10.49May 16, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$0.42May 16, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$0.34May 16, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or below on May 15?$1.05May 14, 13:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $6.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 17:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".