Outlandish-Complicity
0x0781872fe78deb6ad8147e482952b4a5461ec4ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-11.3K
Realised
$447.66
Win rate
59%
73 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
420 shares @ 90.4¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$407.04
$26.88
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
402 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$401.99
$13.98
- NO
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
400 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$395.80
$12.38
- NO
Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit in the US in May?
400 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$378.80
$2.80
- NO
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?
400 shares @ 94.0¢·now 88.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$355.40
$-20.60
- YES
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
400 shares @ 82.3¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$338.00
$8.58
- NO
Will Ralph Nwobi advance from the CA-07 primary election?
400 shares @ 87.9¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$324.00
$-27.54
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
400 shares @ 40.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$230.00
$70.00
- NO
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
400 shares @ 43.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$140.00
$-32.00
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
401 shares @ 7.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$52.13
$24.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?$4.57May 18, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Couvillon be the Republican nominee for GA-09?$1.49May 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$10.06May 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$31.99May 18, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Gachiakuta" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$27.18May 18, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$4.44May 17, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$3.89May 17, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$0.03May 17, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$0.04May 17, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$0.03May 17, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GamerLegion win IEM Atlanta 2026?$2.05May 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$0.07May 17, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$4.48May 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$0.38May 17, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$0.96May 17, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$0.12May 17, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?$6.27May 17, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$0.12May 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$0.10May 17, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$0.14May 17, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $7.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 02:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 73 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".