Scientific-Impala
0x07d126ea6f8542a58ee2c4c7c31535dd9b3e8ffa
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-857.02
Realised
$755.27
Win rate
94%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1530 shares @ 24.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$313.57
$-67.39
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?
1678 shares @ 3.8¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$150.19
$86.90
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
355 shares @ 31.5¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.88
$-16.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1700 shares @ 9.6¢·now 5.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$95.17
$-68.65
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
815 shares @ 26.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$89.67
$-122.65
- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
570 shares @ 17.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$76.98
$-23.79
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?
235 shares @ 13.8¢·now 29.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.09
$36.77
- YES
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
640 shares @ 12.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.19
$-14.41
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
16341 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$57.19
$-45.17
- YES
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
10884 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.42
$-33.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$0.03May 18, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$0.07May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$1.65May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$2.65May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$2.55May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$1.43May 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.07May 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$1.10May 17, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$1.07May 17, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$2.70May 17, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.26May 17, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$9.25May 17, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.70May 17, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$6.38May 17, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$0.34May 17, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$0.84May 17, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$1.03May 17, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 23?$0.79May 17, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$1.10May 17, 11:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 10:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".