Qualified-Hypothermia
0x07d4245464dc4fa05d0b3f084d82482462dc8991
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
139
Open notional
$14.3K
Total PnL
$-240.31
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
87%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
17349 shares @ 3.1¢·now 6.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$607.26
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10000 shares @ 4.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$855.00
$384.92
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3800 shares @ 18.6¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$854.99
$149.60
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3799 shares @ 18.9¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$816.78
$98.44
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
2625 shares @ 24.8¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$616.85
$-34.67
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
9450 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$496.12
$-71.98
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5745 shares @ 10.2¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$491.24
$-95.37
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2346 shares @ 23.3¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$437.53
$-108.73
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
500 shares @ 78.4¢·now 81.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$405.50
$13.50
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1110 shares @ 49.5¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$402.37
$-147.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$0.30May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$0.30May 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$0.30May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$0.30May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$0.30May 18, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$0.32May 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$0.37May 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$0.44May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$0.52May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$0.61May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$0.71May 18, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.03May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 18, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.14May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.50May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.02May 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.24May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$0.84May 18, 05:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".