Circular-Coverage
0x07e099ae8cc4811b6bbeed81fbf011fedc93e1e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$-400.00
Realised
$6.76
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1596 shares @ 92.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$54.12
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
564 shares @ 77.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$465.29
$30.10
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
367 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$343.14
$27.70
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
299 shares @ 93.9¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$289.43
$8.71
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
200 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$189.70
$15.70
- YES
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
200 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$183.00
$7.00
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
170 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$150.45
$0.85
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
158 shares @ 80.8¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$135.87
$8.26
- NO
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$98.90
$1.10
- NO
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$98.09
$0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$14.60May 18, 08:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by December 31?$6.72May 17, 21:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$61.37May 16, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$5.00May 16, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$3.70May 16, 01:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$195.41May 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$50.59May 15, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$6.90May 15, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?$3.85May 15, 08:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$7.00May 14, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$17.00May 14, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$9.60May 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$50.88May 14, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$288.00May 14, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$296.10May 14, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$192.00May 14, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $56.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".