Sophisticated-Incidence
0x08431ae32df0de5e2b8dfc7377c1c952b509938a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.49
Total PnL
$-10.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.18
$0.08
- YES
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.31
$-0.13
- LIONS
Packers vs. Lions
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Chad win on 2025-11-17?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.77
- EDWARD GAMING
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- INDIA
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.59
- HEAT
Bucks vs. Heat
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DODGERS
Dodgers vs. Pirates
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- INVICTUS GAMING
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?$1.44May 17, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$0.81May 17, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$2.82May 17, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$1.82May 15, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.16May 6, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$2.75Apr 28, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.10Apr 19, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMCanucks vs. Capitals$0.00Apr 19, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 19, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMTigers vs. Yankees$0.00Apr 19, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMSun vs. Sky$0.00Apr 19, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMUpper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Shuai Zhang$1.53Apr 19, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUpper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Shuai Zhang$1.28Apr 8, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.53Apr 8, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$1.70Mar 26, 14:50 UTC
- REWARD$2.01Mar 12, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.31Mar 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$900.84Mar 11, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$29.94Mar 11, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$42.51Mar 11, 14:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $297.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 21:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 11:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".