Jolly-Chaplain
0x08730443345e11c078c5b2597ce3c0f06af609e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
157
Open notional
$265.24
Total PnL
$251.07
Realised
$237.10
Win rate
100%
93 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 157- YES
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.00
$6.67
- YES
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
33330 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.67
$-16.67
- YES
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
6666 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$3.33
- YES
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
6666 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$3.33
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?
5569 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$8.35
$2.78
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
4444 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.67
$2.22
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?
6151 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$6.15
$0.00
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?
3858 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.79
$1.93
- YES
Will Moon Jin-seok win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
3596 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.39
$1.80
- YES
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3444 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.17
$1.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$0.01May 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$0.01May 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$0.01May 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$0.01May 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$0.01May 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$0.01May 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$0.01May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$0.01May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$0.01May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?$0.01May 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.02May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.02May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?$0.00May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?$0.02May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?$0.01May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?$0.01May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.01May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.01May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?$0.01May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.02May 18, 07:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 93 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".