Tough-Bill
0x08c79d5738c3ae797ecf27f32b53d23ada7b49a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$3.05
Total PnL
$-12.55
Realised
$-5.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-05-10?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?
14 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Aarhus GF win on 2026-05-17?$2.08May 18, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.02May 17, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.02May 17, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.03May 17, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.03May 17, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aarhus GF win on 2026-05-17?$1.02May 17, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$5.56May 17, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$1.91May 17, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$2.04May 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$6.11May 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?$2.12May 11, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?$2.12May 11, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?$1.07May 10, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aarhus GF win on 2026-05-10?$13.86May 10, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aarhus GF win on 2026-05-10?$2.01May 10, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brøndby IF win on 2026-05-10?$1.03May 10, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?$0.96May 10, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.78May 10, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brøndby IF win on 2026-05-10?$0.39May 10, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?$1.04May 10, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 23:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".